Niklas Donth

I am deeply interested in how and why people form preferences and opinions in the political space and their subsequent vote choices. Furthermore, I have a keen interest in the strategic intersection between party strategies and voter behavior. In my PhD project, I focus on the role of Left-Authoritarian voters in the electoral competition between Social Democracy and the Populist Radical Right in Europe.

I’m currently focusing on growing as a scientist by learning and employing causal inference methods derived from the counterfactual causal model. Methodologically, I am also interested in the application of Bayesian statistics and Causal Machine Learning Methods.